Archive for November 30th, 2009
Climategate
It just gets better and better.
He sums up the non-scientists dilemma quite eloquently.
I do not think it is sensible to compare a publicly made statement with internal CRU correspondence.
As a non scientist, my reading of this comment lines up quite well with what ‘Pops’ had to say.
Also it is relevant to the reason why I am now lurking on this web blog and recently shifted from believer to sceptic – a loss of trust and confidence in the scientific community and my new-found unwillingness to take what is presented to me by the scientific community via the media on this issue at face value.
In their original article in Nature in 1998, Briffa and colleagues are very clear that the post-1960 data in their tree-ring dataset should not be used in reconstructing temperatures due to a problem known as the “divergence problem” where their tree-ring data decline in their response to warming temperatures after about 1960.
Yeah, what they aren’t so clear about is why the rest of the tree-ring data shouldn’t also not be used for reconstructing temperatures. A question that a scientist would have had answered before using that data for any purpose. Instead, the Mann et al plow ahead, hiding the decline.
“Hide” was therefore a poor word choice, since the existence of this decline, and the reason not to use the post 1960 data because of it, was not only known, but was indeed the point emphasized in the original Briffa et al Nature article.
“Hide” was therefore a perfect word choice, for hide was exactly what was done. Hidden in the text of an article that few will read, hidden from the later derivative articles, and from the graphs and summaries that appear in the mass propaganda for the policy makers, the non-team ‘consensus’ scientists, and the peons.
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